如何计算庄家目标位
知道庄家的目标位何异于拿到庄家粮仓的钥匙，但股票千差万别预测起来困难重重，投资者可通过做庄长短、市价高低、盘子大小等因素估算庄股可能的升幅。1.做庄时间长短，做庄时间越长升幅越可观。庄家有短线庄家、中线庄家、长线庄家之分，短线庄家控制的筹码不多，有10%的升幅即可达到做庄目标，行情极难把握。中线庄股在升幅100%左右的位置会遇到较大的阻力，一般说升幅达到100%时属于高风险区。一些长线庄股，如湘火炬、东方电子(000682,股吧)、蓝田股份、南通机床等累计升幅高达10倍。投资者可从走势图上观察庄家做庄的长短，若某股庄家介入很早且一直没有出货迹象，可推算此庄家的目标较远大。
2.小盘股上升空间广阔，流通盘越大上升需要的能量越多，升幅受到限制。升幅翻几翻的个股流通盘都在2000万—3000万之间。
3.股票升幅与庄家成本有关，成本越大越需向上拓展空间。投资者观察目前价位庄家是否有获利空间，若庄家获利菲薄，自然可放心持股。
4.与启动时的价位有关。低价股的升幅往往较高价股更有想像力，黑马常常从低价股中窜出。市价4.5元的低价股即使升一倍依然属于“低”价股，高价股即使升10%亦让人望而却步。
谢谢楼主的分享
感谢楼主分享 #在这里快速回复#谢谢老师，努力学习中 做庄时间越长升幅越可观 谢谢分享！ CB:DMA(((2*C+H+L)/4+(2*H+L+C)/4+(2*L+C+H)/4)/3*90,HSL/90)/90,COLORRED,CIRCLEDOT; 长底:CB*0.618,COLORWHITE; 中底:CB*0.809,COLORGREEN ; 警示:CB*1.191,COLORLIBLUE; 脱离:CB*1.382,COLORMAGENTA; EMA((2*C+H+L)/4,240)COLORBLUE; IF(EMA((2*C+H+L)/4,240)>REF(EMA((2*C+H+L)/4,240),1),EMA((2*C+H+L)/4,240),DRAWNULL)COLORYELLOW,CIRCLEDOT; TY:=C; HD:=FILTER(BACKSET(FILTER(REF(TY,10)=HHV(TY,2*10+1),10),10+1),10); LD:=FILTER(BACKSET(FILTER(REF(TY,10)=LLV(TY,2*10+1),10),10+1),10);A:=REF(C,BARSLAST(HD)); B:=REF(C,BARSLAST(LD)); T1:=BARSLAST(HD) T2:=BARSLAST(HD)>BARSLAST(LD) AND NOT(LD); 波浪顶:IF(T1,A,A),COLORFF00FF,POINTDOT,LINETHICK1; STICKLINE(T1,A,A,9,0),COLORFF00FF; 波浪底:IF(T2,B,B),COLOR80FF00,POINTDOT,LINETHICK1; VAR3:=LLV(H,240); VAR4:=100*(C-VAR3)/VAR3; VAR5:=(C-LLV(L,528))/(HHV(H,528)-LLV(L,528))*100; VAR6:=(C-LLV(C,530))/(HHV(C,530)-LLV(C,530))*100; VAR7:=0; VAR8:=MA(HHV(C-REF(C,1),0),34)/MA(ABS(C-REF(C,1)),7)*100; VAR9:=MA(HHV(C-REF(C,1),0),13)/MA(ABS(C-REF(C,1)),13)*100; VARA:=BARSCOUNT(C); VARB:=VAR8<20 AND VAR9<23 AND VARA>35; VARC:=VARB AND COUNT(VARB,1)=1; VARD:=EMA(C,21)-EMA(C,8); VARE:=EMA(VARD,5); VARF:=TROUGH(3,6,1)<4 AND CROSS(VARD,VARE); VAR10:=IF(TROUGH(3,16,1)=0 AND H>L+0.04,4,0); VAR11:=ZIG(3,6)>REF(ZIG(3,6),1)AND REF(ZIG(3,6),1)<=REF(ZIG(3,6),2)AND REF(ZIG(3,6),2)<=REF(ZIG(3,6),3); VAR12:=ZIG(3,6) AND REF(ZIG(3,6),1)>=REF(ZIG(3,6),2)AND REF(ZIG(3,6),2)>=REF(ZIG(3,6),3); VAR13:=ZIG(3,22)>REF(ZIG(3,22),1) AND REF(ZIG(3,22),1)<=REF(ZIG(3,22),2) AND REF(ZIG(3,22),2)<=REF(ZIG(3,22),3); VAR14:=ZIG(3,22) AND REF(ZIG(3,22),1)>=REF(ZIG(3,22),2) AND REF(ZIG(3,22),2)>=REF(ZIG(3,22),3); VAR15:=ZIG(3,51)>REF(ZIG(3,51),1) AND REF(ZIG(3,51),1)<=REF(ZIG(3,51),2)AND REF(ZIG(3,51),2)<=REF(ZIG(3,51),3); VAR16:=ZIG(3,51) AND REF(ZIG(3,51),1)>=REF(ZIG(3,51),2) AND REF(ZIG(3,51),2)>=REF(ZIG(3,51),3); VAR17:=ZIG(3,72)>REF(ZIG(3,72),1)AND REF(ZIG(3,72),1)<=REF(ZIG(3,72),2) AND REF(ZIG(3,72),2)<=REF(ZIG(3,72),3); VAR18:=ZIG(3,72) AND REF(ZIG(3,72),1)>=REF(ZIG(3,72),2) AND REF(ZIG(3,72),2)>=REF(ZIG(3,72),3); VAR19:=EMA(C,2)-EMA(C,150); VAR1A:=EMA(VAR19,100); VAR1B:=2*(VAR19-VAR1A); VAR1C:=POW(VAR1B,3)*0.1+POW(VAR1B,1); VAR1D:=SQRT(SQRT(L*H*O*C)); VAR1E:=EMA(VAR1D*0.97,3); VAR1F:=(H+L+C)/3; VAR20:=(VAR1F-MA(VAR1F,14))/(0.015*AVEDEV(VAR1F,14)); VAR21:=CROSS(VAR1E,L); 买点1:=VAR10; 买点2:=(VAR11+VAR13+VAR15+VAR17); 卖点1:=(VAR12+VAR14+VAR16+VAR18),LINETHICK2; VAR22:=买点1 AND VARF AND VARC AND VAR21 AND VAR4<0 AND VAR5=0 AND VAR6=0 AND VAR20<(-110); VAR1:=MA(C,5); VAR2:=MA(C,10); VAR31:=MA(C,30); VARB1:=SUM(C*V*100,28)/SUM(V*100,28); VARC1:=INTPART(VARB1*100)/100; VARD1:=EMA(C,5)-EMA(C,10); VARE1:=EMA(VARD1,9); VAR131:=REF(VARE1,1); VAR141:=VARE1; VAR151:=VAR141-VAR131; VAR161:=REF(VARD1,1); VAR171:=VARD1; VAR181:=VAR171-VAR161; VAR191:=O; VAR1A1:=C; DRAWTEXT(买点1>0,L-0.01,'▲'),COLORRED; DRAWTEXT(买点2>0,L-0.01,'▲'),COLORFF00FF; DRAWTEXT(卖点1>0,H+0.1,'▼'), COLOR33FF33; 谢谢楼主分享 谢谢楼主分享 学习学习，谢谢分享。 谢谢分享谢谢分享
精彩绝伦 谢谢分享 多谢楼主的分享 谢谢楼主分享 谢谢楼主分享
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